Runaway population growth? The numbers say otherwise.

PHILIPPINE POPULATION TRENDS: POPULATION GROWTH AND TOTAL FERTILITY ARE DROPPING

Do not be deceived by alarmist claims that “too many babies are being born too soon” or that the Philippines has “runaway population growth.” These claims simply are not borne-out by the numbers.

The Philippine National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) published the following estimates of Population Growth (PGR) and Total Fertility (TFR) Rates on their website, which clearly project trends that are dropping. In plain language, the PGR and TFR of the Philippines are not running away but are slowing down.

Population Growth Rates

Period : Rate

2000-2005 : 2.05
2005-2010 : 1.95
2010-2015 : 1.82
2015-2020 : 1.64
2020-2025 : 1.46
2025-2030 : 1.27
2030-2035 : 1.09
2035-2040 : 0.92

Total Fertility Rates

Period : Rate

2000-2005 : 3.41
2005-2010 : 3.18
2010-2015 : 2.96
2015-2020 : 2.76
2020-2025 : 2.57
2025-2030 : 2.39
2030-2035 : 2.23
2035-2040 : 2.07

source: http://www.nscb.gov.ph/secstat/d_popnProj.asp

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